Democrats spent tens of millions trying to steal Virginia's congressional map from Republicans.
The Virginia Supreme Court handed it back.
Now Jim Jordan says Republicans are going to keep the House.
Two Court Rulings That Changed Everything
Ten days ago, the redistricting war looked like a coin flip.
Democrats had a plan.
Spend tens of millions redrawing Virginia's congressional map through a voter referendum – flip as many as four Republican seats – and use that as the firewall against everything Republicans were doing in Texas, Tennessee, and Florida.
The Virginia Supreme Court struck it down last Friday.
The court ruled 4-3 that Democrats violated the state constitution when they placed the redistricting question on the ballot – the legislature approved the measure in October after early voting had already begun, and four justices caught them.
The procedural cheating killed the map, and with it, Democrats' best shot at a net gain outside California.
That was blow number one.
Blow number two came from the U.S. Supreme Court.
On April 29, Justice Samuel Alito wrote the 6-3 majority opinion in Louisiana v. Callais – and gutted the redistricting strategy Democrats have been running for decades.
The Court ruled that Louisiana's race-drawn congressional map was an unconstitutional racial gerrymander.
The Voting Rights Act, Alito wrote, does not require states to create majority-minority districts when doing so means drawing lines primarily around race.
The decision immediately unleashed Republican-led states across the South.
The Dominos Started Falling
Tennessee was first.
Republican Gov. Bill Lee signed a new congressional map that broke apart Memphis' lone Democrat-held district – giving Republicans a legitimate shot at sweeping all nine of the state's congressional seats.
Alabama moved the same week.
The state asked the Supreme Court to let it use its legislature-drawn maps, and the Court cleared the way on May 11 – maps that had been blocked for years under the old Voting Rights Act framework.
Louisiana, South Carolina, and Mississippi have all launched redistricting processes in the days since Callais came down.
Jordan went on Fox Business with Maria Bartiromo Tuesday morning and laid it out plainly.
"It's going to be a huge help in light of what's happened in the last 10 days," Jordan said, referencing the Virginia ruling and the Supreme Court decision. "I mean, what happened with Virginia, what happened with the Supreme Court and decisions. Now that will impact many southern states."
"I think we're going to keep the majority in this year's midterm election," he said.
Democrats Built Their Entire Strategy on Virginia
This is the part that matters.
Republicans already had structural advantages from redistricting in Texas, North Carolina, Missouri, Ohio, and Florida – projected gains of up to 14 seats before the Callais decision ever came down.
Democrats countered with California and Virginia.
California was supposed to net them five seats.
Virginia was supposed to net them four more.
Together, that was the offset – the math that made flipping the House realistic even with everything Trump's team was doing in red states.
https://twitter.com/ThePatriotOasis/status/2034656579786575994?s=20
California's gains survive.
Virginia's are gone.
Hakeem Jeffries' campaign arm went in front of cameras after the Virginia ruling and promised Democrats were still going to take the House.
Nobody believes that now.
Jeffries watched his party sink tens of millions into a Virginia map that a procedural error doomed from the start – and now he has nothing to show for it while five Southern states redraw Republicans into bigger majorities.
Trump started this war.
He called the shot in Texas, the maps got redrawn, the courts held, and the South followed.
Democrats had one real answer – Virginia – and they botched it.
The House stays Republican. Jim Jordan knew that before he sat down with Maria Bartiromo. Now you know it too.
Sources:
- Jeff Poor, "Jordan Predicts GOP Keeps Majority After Redistricting," Breitbart, May 12, 2026.
- Amy Howe, "In major Voting Rights Act case, Supreme Court strikes down redistricting map," SCOTUSblog, April 29, 2026.
- David A. Lieb, "Republicans have gained an edge in a US House redistricting battle," AP/WWNO, May 8, 2026.
- Katherine T. Bennett, "Louisiana v. Callais and the Future of Redistricting," American Legislative Exchange Council, May 12, 2026.
- Travis Loller et al., "Redistricting race to the bottom ramps up," CNBC, May 7, 2026.
